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Delivery-Backed Breakout

Buys stocks breaking to within 3% of their all-time high, but only when the breakout is backed by genuine delivery — more than 50% of that day's traded volume settling as delivery, against above-average turnover. Weekly.

Why this is expected to work

Most breakouts fail, and the standard filter for separating the real ones is volume. In India there is a strictly better filter available free from the exchange: delivery percentage. NSE publishes what share of each day's traded quantity actually settled as delivery rather than being squared off intraday. High volume with low delivery is day-trader churn that unwinds by the close; high volume with high delivery means someone took the stock home and paid full value for it. That distinction is invisible in the volume number alone and is the reason this template exists — it is a signal with no US equivalent, since the disclosure does not exist there. The all-time-high anchor works on the disposition effect: investors sell winners too early and hold losers too long (Odean, 1998), so a stock at a new high has no trapped supply of underwater holders waiting to sell into strength.

breakoutdeliveryvolumemicrostructure
Universe
NSE Stocks XNSE
Rebalance
Weekly Score proportional

How the pipeline works

Filter

Liquid: traded > Rs 5 cr/day

Keeps rows where turnover > 50000000

turnover > 50000000
Filter

Market cap > Rs 1,000 cr

Keeps rows where market_cap > 10000000000

market_cap > 10000000000
Filter

Within 3% of all-time high

Keeps rows where close >= (all_time_high * 0.97)

close >= (all_time_high * 0.97)
Filter

Majority delivered, not churned

Keeps rows where delivery_pct > 50

delivery_pct > 50
Calculate

20-day average turnover

Computes avg_turnover_20 = @SMA(turnover, 20)

@SMA(turnover, 20)
Filter

Turnover above its own average

Keeps rows where turnover > avg_turnover_20

turnover > avg_turnover_20
Rank

20 largest breakouts

Selects the top 20 by market_cap

What this template teaches

  • delivery_pct — an India-specific microstructure field
  • all_time_high as a breakout anchor
  • Stacking a confirmation filter behind a price signal
Read the full write-up

Delivery Percentage: The Volume Filter Only Indian Markets Have

Volume tells you how much traded. Delivery percentage tells you how much was actually taken home. For separating real breakouts from intraday churn, the second number is far better — and it does not exist in US markets.